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Building on and refining the "hammer and dance” scenario
Nobody has ever accused me of being an optimist.
Tomorrow marks 20 days since Newsom’s statewide stay-at-home order
and the day after that will be the first day that it’s effects begin
to show up. My model predicts a peak at 54 deaths on April 10. As
of right now the data is tracking below my predictions, but there is
an VERY stringent test on my model coming over the next week.
Check it out here: