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On 4/12/2020 3:47 PM, bernard cleyet wrote:
/snip/
http://cleyet.org/covid-19/Europe/Andorra/
Finally! I’ve plotted cases wherein the better fit is
logistic —considerably better than a simple exponential.
(Thanks to Brian W.) Deaths next.
It may be I am a prisoner of my own devise; but comparing bc's
Andorra scatter plot of cases per day using the raw rate data
suffers from the inevitable noise.
Can YOU define the peak case rate day from this plot?
How much better to derive cases per day using the logistic
parameters with which he modeled the cumulative cases, like this:
https://imgur.com/BR1US5H