The above claims: “… while adjusting for population may show the relative strain on a country, the growth of the virus should be independent of the size of the country.”
Continuing: "And here’s why these numbers aren’t adjusted for population:
Normalised numbers are good at showing *relatively* how much strain a country is under, but they’re unsuited to tracking the extent/state of a country’s outbreak, which spreads at ~same pace regardless of country size.”
Finally! I’ve plotted cases wherein the better fit is logistic —considerably better than a simple exponential. (Thanks to Brian W.) Deaths next.
Intuitively, I think the proportion of cases to total infections is higher in Andorra than nearly all the other countries. However, this is belied by the high death rate. 29/638 ~= 4.5%.