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Re: [Phys-L] Bayesian Inference in Half-Life measurement



Regarding Paul's endorsement:

You'd really enjoy David MacKay's lecture 10 on Information
theory. He really rips into physicists regarding "old school"
methods. He's a physicist, actually. So he should know.

Basically, the "old school" method is wrong and is not used in
modern analysis of half-life measurements.

Speaking of old-school methods, supposedly Ernst Rutherford is reported to have said, "If your experiment needs statistics, you ought to have done a better experiment." Interestingly enough, he was the guy whose main claim to fame strongly relied on the statistics of relatively rare greatly backscattered alpha particles.

Dave Bowman