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Re: [Phys-L] modeling is hard



On 2020/Apr/01, at 22:56, John Denker via Phys-l <phys-l@mail.phys-l.org> wrote:


There is no reason why every country could not do as well
as South Korea. China spent a month trying to gaslight
their population before realizing that wasn't going to
work, and therefore got an order-of-magnitude worse outcome.
The disease spread to the US at the same time as South
Korea. As you can see from the graph, the US curve is
very high and still rapidly climbing, with no end in
sight. *More importantly* keep in mind that this shows
"confirmed" cases, and the US has a uniquely bad testing
program, so the /actual/ US situation is much worse than
the figure suggests.


There are news articles that claim Taiwan (ROC) has done vey well, but has a new outbreak from returning workers from China (PRC).

The WHO has been bullied from publishing their data. Does any one have it?

bc