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[Phys-L] Model Selection Statistics



"Ask n statisticians, get C(n,k) opinions."
- me, just now

Suppose I have some physics data binned into 80 bins. And I have two
models which propose to fit some characteristic of interest and a
non-linear background. One is a simple polynomial. The other is a more
complicated. I can calculate a reduced chi square for each data fit.

What's the best way to compare the two models?
I have a dim memory of this lecture. Does someone have a good translation
of said lecture into terms a physicist can understand?

Paul