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You find the energy argument to be unnecessary and non-constructive;
but do you find it invalid? Your executive summary seems to imply
"no" to the question of validity to the energy alone argument.
However further down, where you refer to "covering all the bases" as
necessary for a "contrafactual" argument; you suggest that the energy
argument alone does not suffice; from which I infer a response of
"yes" to the validity of the energy argument (since all the bases
aren't covered).