Re: [Phys-L] corvid-19 graphed

[brian whatcott <betwys1@sbcglobal.net>]

On 3/17/2020 4:58 PM, bernard cleyet wrote:
> Phys-l'ers and friends!  (Bcc’d)
>
>
> I have begun my analysis of, well .. just graphing of data, our crisis.
>
> Here it is:   http://cleyet.org/covid-19/  As more data is posted by the WHO, I'll date up.
>
>
> bc   is searching for Calif. data in order to predict ours, close to home.  [1] And post.
>
> p.s.  Soon I’ll (Nancy also) hunker down, as we both have heightened risk.  (14% mortality for those over 80, and bc has an underlying lung disease.)
>
> [1] Scenarios: Newsom"s, more restrictive (S. Korea [2], Italy), any other I think of, or is suggested.  My intuition is the CA peak will come in May, because of "flattening of the curve” — you’ve all read that, N’est pas?  I pray for that, so I won’t be triaged to death.
>
> [2]  The upside of dungeon PRK!
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Your ex-Sino  graph puts the doubling time closer to four days than three,
I notice

Brian W