Re: [Phys-l] Monty Hall problem

[chuck britton <cvbritton@mac.com>]

Each Marilyn scenario that I have read includes the host opening a 
goat door and offering a switch.
Have I missed one? And I have now perused the archive links that have 
been offered.

I understand the optimal strategy that follows such an opening + 
offering to be to switch.

Yes the hour is drawing late - but I WOULD like to know if I am 
overlooking one of Marilyn's versions.

(Just the facts)

.
At 7:51 PM -0800 1/5/11, John Mallinckrodt wrote:
> Chuck,
>
> I'm not sure what more can be said at this point to help erase 
> whatever confusion may linger or how what has already been said can 
> be said much more clearly.  I can't help, however, but think that 
> the primary obstacle is simply that you might not have very 
> carefully read or considered the early posts in this thread.  You 
> may be just as happy letting it all go at this point, but if not, 
> I'd suggest taking a more leisurely pass through the archive 
> starting here:
>
> https://carnot.physics.buffalo.edu/archives/2011/1_2011/msg00072.html
>
> John Mallinckrodt
> Cal Poly Pomona
>
> On Jan 5, 2011, at 7:14 PM, chuck britton wrote:
>
> >  I'm not interested in argument - just the facts.  (Moynihan style)
> >
> >  Will anyone point out a version of the Marilyn
> >  Goat scenario that does not include the host
> >  opening a goat door and offering a switch?
> >
> >  Will anyone say that switching under this Marilyn scenario is not optimal?
> >
> >  Probably not.
> >
> >  So indeed  - case closed.
>
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