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Re: [Phys-l] Never Trust a Theoretician! - Monty Hall Revisited.



What _*I*_ got out of this MythBuster segment was the VERY strong psychological tendency to STICK with your initial choice.

Twenty 'randomly' chosen 'contestants' all chose to Stick rather than SWAP.

I guess these California folks aren't as 'hip' to the vos Savant column as I might have suspected.

;-)
.
At 10:12 PM -0600 11/23/11, brian whatcott wrote:
I seem to recall quite a protracted discussion here on the merits of the
Monty Hall Paradox.
This concluded that in the three door variant - with the empty door
revealed, I seem to
recall that if you stuck, you rated a one in three chance of winning:
but if you swapped
your door choice after the third empty door was opened, your chances
rose to one in two.

But tonight I saw a Mythbusters experiment, nicely done *, that made the
relative chances
one in three for sticking, and TWO in three for swapping doors.

Bah humbug!

Brian W
* Discovery Channel (HD) 9-10 pm CST. Wed Nov 23rd 2011
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