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Re: [Phys-l] climate vs weather; was "why and how"



On 12/22/2010 12:02 PM, marx@phy.ilstu.edu wrote:
I spend a lot of time in my courses explaining the difference between
models and theories. To me, models are competing theoretical
frameworks to explain a given phenomena. The competition is played
out in laboratories that test model predictions and in the offices of
theoreticians that work to remove inconsistencies. Like the
Highlander, in the end, there can be only one. That successful,
remaining model is the theory. I explain that a theory is as close
to truth as we get in science, but it is still subject to further
testing and may be altered or thrown away if new information comes to
light.

1) You are, as always, free to define your terms in whatever way
suits you.

2) Still, it pays to beware of the following scenario: Suppose you
define "theory" and explain your meaning ever-so-carefully, and the
students learn it ever-so-carefully. Then ... they leave class and
are surrounded by other people who define it in another way and use
it in a third way, without being nearly so careful to explain what
they mean. This means the students are at risk of misunderstanding
other people, and being misunderstood by other people. On the other
side of the same coin, there is the risk that your definition will
not "stick" after the students leave the classroom.

For slightly different reasons, a highly refined definition of "model"
is almost certainly not worth the trouble. There are many words that
scientists use to describe models and such. There are differences
in the connotations, but the differences are trivial compared to the
commonalities.
* Gauss’s law.
* Newton’s method.
* Simpson’s rule.
* Euler’s identity.
* Parseval’s theorem.
* Maxwell’s equations.
* Pascal’s principle.
* The Euclidean algorithm.
* The Tolman relation.
* The Kutta condition.
* The Cauchy criterion.
* The quadratic formula.
* The inflationary model.

The important goal is to understand how science is done, and more
generally to understand how critical thinking is done. A hairsplitting
exegesis of these words is not at all helpful in advancing this goal.

=======================

This is a tricky business, and I don't claim to have all the answers.
*) There are some words that are so important that it seems IMHO
worth the trouble of defining them "just so" and defending the
technical meaning against all the pressures that would tend to
distort it. I put energy and entropy in this category.
*) On the other hand there are some words that are no longer very
important, and for which the technical meaning is already quite
ambiguous and/or misleading. In these cases I am content to give
up and simply avoid using the words. I put "heat", "adiabatic",
and "theory" in this category. They are not worth the trouble.
There are other ways of saying what needs to be said.
*) And then there innumerable words that have multiple meanings,
in a way that people are content to live with.

Some have manipulated data and
outright lied to protect their public story.

I have looked into this. This story has been wildly exaggerated.
When Palin accuses the scientists of manipulating and distorting
the facts, it just cracks me up. It reminds me of when the Bush
campaign was horrified by Kerry's wartime conduct. It reminds
me of when Shirley Sherrod was vilified for being a racist. It
reminds me of "The Rabbits Who Caused All the Trouble" by James
Thurber.

Like the
Highlander, in the end, there can be only one.

That's not true at all. It is exceedingly common to have multiple
models aka theories that coexist.
-- m g h is an entirely appropriate model in many cases
-- G M m / r is an entirely appropriate model in many cases
-- 8 π Tμν is an entirely appropriate model in many cases

There is sort of a hierarchy in the previous example, but this is
not necessary or even typical.
-- Sometimes a liquid can be modeled as a dilute solution of
water in alcohol,
-- Sometimes a liquid can be modeled as a dilute solution of
alcohol in water.
-- Sometimes the solution is not dilute. The situation is
inherently complicated, and the simplifications that are
appropriate for dilute solutions do not apply.

All models are in some ways apt and in some ways not apt.
Deciding which model(s) to use in this-or-that situation
requires judgment and skill.