Re: [Phys-l] The Republican "war on science" has moved to the UK.

[Brian Whatcott <betwys1@sbcglobal.net>]

chuck britton wrote:
> >  > At 7:01 PM -0600 11(3(2009, Brian Whatcott wrote:
> >     
actually Chuck said:
> >  > It's an extremely small percentage of alcoholics who never drank milk
> >     
> > >  at an earlier time.
> > >
> > > 		Very solid evidence to support this.
> > >
> > >  
> > >       
> > Could it be you are pointing to the hazards of post hoc ergo propter hoc?
> >
> > :-)
> >
> > Brian W
> >     
>
>
> Are you implying that such arguments aren't going to convince people??
> 	This is pretty serious stuff!
>   
Well, let's see how this line of discussion works:

If 5% of people who have consumed A later consume B
and
if 95% of people who never consumed A  never subsequently consume B
and
if 95% people who consume B have earlier consumed A

...can you draw any possible conclusions? (like epidemiology, public 
health,
and proving a connection between lung cancer and smoking - it
isn't necessarily easy!)

Brian W