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Re: [Phys-L] tutorial on exponential mixtures

On 6/4/2020 11:02 PM, David Bowman wrote:
In my previous post when I said I found it "remarkable about the statistics of this pandemic is the unreasonable effectiveness of the cumulative *log-normal* family of model distributions in fitting the cumulative death data for the US & some other countries " I should have qualified the remark with the words "so far" since I expect the heretofore "unreasonable effectiveness" of a log-normal model to become quite *in*effective once the consequences of the recent nationwide surge in the lack of social distancing shows up in the composite death data.

Dave Bowman
Forum for Physics Educators
Somewhat tongue in cheek, I answered the Question "When does the Pandemic End?" with this - which is slightly relevant:

Brian W