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Re: [Phys-L] CV-19 Logistic and Time Distribution



On 4/9/2020 5:43 PM, bernard cleyet wrote:
"The institute’s updated projection, as of Wednesday, suggested that the state hospitalizations peaked on April 2, and forecast that the coronavirus patient count would sharply decline in the weeks ahead. The model predicted by the end this month, Washington would have fewer than 200 coronavirus patients hospitalized, of which 34 would be in intensive care units.”

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/coronavirus-hospitalizations-in-washington-state-sharply-higher-than-earlier-surveys-but-officials-say-curve-still-flattening/.


bc has friend who lives walking distance to UW and Fremont. [in Wallingford (gas works) between University [UW] and Fremont (Lenin statue, waiting for the interurban, and the Troll. )
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It appears that the tame research engineers on Wall Street have been using better models than me: the Dow Jones turned on March 31st

Brian W