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Re: [Phys-L] Uncertainty Calculator



On Saturday, January 21, 2017 5:09 PM, John Denker wrote:

I cobbled up an Uncertainty Calculator. Given some input variables with error
bars, it calculates the output variable and its error bars.

https://www.av8n.com/physics/uncertainty-calculator.html

This looks useful. I haven't had time to try it out in any detail. What I have found out immediately is that, on my Windows 10 machine, the calculator will not run using Internet Explorer 11, but will run using Edge.

There are other online Uncertainty Calculators out there. However, the others all seem to rely on «propagation of error bars», which is more laborious, less powerful, and less reliable. I will never in a million years understand why anybody would bother with that.

It may be "inertia" - the reluctance to change to better techniques now allowed by improved technology. I am now retired, but when I learned about error propagation, personal computers were non-existent. Hand-held calculators were non-existent. We used slide rules. Propagation of error bars was an approach that allowed someone with a slide rule to produce an approximate answer. I don't recall anyone telling me about the "crank three times method" (perhaps, because that is a John Denker innovation?) but that would have appealed to me. Once I found out about the Monte Carlo method, and had a personal computer available, that became my method of choice.

Don
Dr. Donald G. Polvani
Adjunct Faculty, Physics, Retired
Anne Arundel Community College
Arnold, MD 21012