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I have not seen the statistics on calculus and physics, but I was just
talking to the chemistry chair in our building and she says that organic
chemistry is a tight predictor for success in medical school. The actual
material may not be used, but the thought process and organizational
techniques used in orgo are similar to that in physiology - hence the
predictive power and the benefit of repeating similar thought patterns.
Wow, we physics teachers are really in sad shape.
We want premed students (and others) to learn to think critically, do
research (take and analyze data), and understand physics. Yet many on
this list have been saying (now and earlier) that our courses don't
succeed at any of those things.
Why don't we just quit and go do something else for a living?