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I recently saw an interesting mathamatical simulation usedby a UN worker
tovillage to high
explain the multi-variable nature of helping a small
students.death rate is 80%,
Say you start with a community of 500 where the infant
available water is fixed and just enough to serve thecommunity, and food
comes from farming -- and they aren't using modernmethods.
increase population
Pretty much anything you do to help these people will
andfew years the
pretty much nothing you can do will increase water. In a
smallshortages. Because
town that you tried to help will be suffering from water
water is getting used to drink, water won't be availablefor farming, so
thereturns with a new
increased population will also lead to famine. Death
face.have 10 children to
The only solution is to teach people they don't need to
garruntee that two will make it to adulthood. If peoplelearn from
experience,is too long a
this lesson will take one generation to learn - but that
timescale for this.that takes into
Has anyone seen (or done) a calculation of energy needs
account both population growth as well as deaths due toAIDs?
Cheers,
Pamela