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Nowhere did I bring the alpha decay under consideration;
the ratio of alpha over fission probabilities was not even
mentioned in my outline.
Is it not true that the model predicts a rapid increase of the
fission probability per unit time (lambda) when Z goes up
from 80 to 100? That was the main point of my crude
argumentation based on drawn diagrams of V(r).
As far as I recall, the calculations of that kind, done by
theoretical physicists, often disagree with experimentally
measure lambdas by very large factors.
I suspect this is still true today.