Re: The "two child problem"

[bennett@Oakland.edu (Clarence Bennett)]

> There are four possible cases for two children (oldest listed first):
> 1. SS
> 2. SD
> 3. DS

> In the case of the woman we have less information, and the information
> is exhausted by saying that we have case 1, 2, or 3.  In the absence of
> further information any of the three cases is equally likely, and since 
> two of the cases involve an additional son and one doesn't, 


But also, two of the cases include a daughter, and one doesn't.

I think I'm back to even, and the herring was red.

(Except for Martha's entirely separate consideration)


Clarence
Oakland University
Rochester, Michigan
http://www3.acs.oakland.edu/physics/staff_info/Bennett.htm