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Re: [Phys-L] in the news: energy versus temperature



Hi All,


There is a great editorial in the Friday edition of the WSJ. There they quote Roger Pielke, a non-political figure who actually knows what he is talking about. He has developed many of the atmospheric models that we reference.


https://www.wsj.com/articles/texas-thou-hast-sinned-1504221194


As he points out, there have been many changes in the number and intensity of hurricanes, but none that can be attributed to specific causes.


Bob at PC

[https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/BN-UX568_1sinne_SOC_20170831180224.jpg]<https://www.wsj.com/articles/texas-thou-hast-sinned-1504221194>

Texas, Thou Hast Sinned - WSJ<https://www.wsj.com/articles/texas-thou-hast-sinned-1504221194>
www.wsj.com
Progressives blame Houston’s success for the hurricane disaster.





________________________________
From: Phys-l <phys-l-bounces@mail.phys-l.org> on behalf of brian whatcott <betwys1@sbcglobal.net>
Sent: Friday, September 1, 2017 3:44 PM
To: phys-l@mail.phys-l.org
Subject: Re: [Phys-L] in the news: energy versus temperature

On 9/1/2017 11:40 AM, John Denker via Phys-l wrote in part:
/snip/
Extreme Storms
KEY FINDINGS

Human activities have contributed substantially to observed
ocean–atmosphere variability in the Atlantic Ocean (medium
confidence), and these changes have contributed to the observed
upward trend in North Atlantic hurricane activity since the 1970s
(medium confidence).
The above is quoted from the 1200-page
U.S. GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH PROGRAM CLIMATE SCIENCE SPECIAL REPORT
drafts of which have been leaking out, e.g.:
http://www.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/climate/2017/climate-report-final-draft-clean.pdf

Or if you would like another text ~ at the risk of cherry-picking!
from Chapter 9, page 378:

"Confidence in projected increases in the frequency of very intense TCs
[tropical cyclones = hurricanes and typhoons bw] is generally lower
(medium in the eastern North Pacific and low in the western North
Pacific and Atlantic) due to comparatively fewer studies available and
due to the competing influences of projected reductions in overall storm
frequency and increased mean intensity on the frequency of the most
intense storms..."
/snip/

Brian W
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