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So one can suppose that a rapid air flow impinges on the
delicate? membrane and perhaps especially if it flutters,
it may breach.
I suppose there is some reason for keeping
the membrane thin? Perhaps a strain-gage is attached to it?
You may want to look into the design and operation of the Baratron pressure
sensor:
And what about a "fuse" to protect the essential
membrane? A large high vacuum cavity with a
membrane weaker that the one to be protected.
I am not sure why you do not like the
water-rushing-in analogy. The inrushing air has a
linear momentum that must be "absorbed" by the
membrane. To the zeroth approximation it is
similar to water hammer.
But one thing's for sure, the membrane will see
a lot more that 1 atm pressure. As an approximation,
analyze it in the linear regime. Take 1 atm as
the "at rest" position. Then the initial condition
is a very loud sound wave (negative 1 atm [gauge]
sound pressure). This sound wave will reflect off
the membrane. During the time of this reflection,
the incident wave and the reflected wave will
both be at the surface, so there will be a plus 1
atm [gauge] sound pressure, i.e. 2 atm [absolute].