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electric power surplus



Remember when Enron, et al were running the energy markets and
there were electric power shortages as far as the eye could
see? And that because of needless environmental regulation
and insufficient investment in electric power production.

That was only a year and a half ago.



ANALYST: MORE PLANT CLOSURES AHEAD

By CBS.MarketWatch.com 4:27 PM ET Sep 12, 2002

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- The power industry can expect further plant
closings following American Electric Power's announcement to
mothball as many as 16 gas-fired plants in Texas, Williams
Capital Group said Thursday.

On Wednesday, American Electric Power said it would close down
certain power plants that aren't deemed necessary by the Electric
Reliability Council of Texas to support system reliability. The
company would close the plants by the end of the year.

"It's reached a point where we are buying power for a price below
the production costs of 16 of our gas-fired plants," Eric van der
Walde, an AEP executive vice president, said in a statement, adding
that the plants have been idle for much of the year. He emphasized
that the closures would improve AEP's financial performance.

Williams Capital's Christopher Ellinghaus said in a note to clients
that AEP's announcement is the first of what he expects will be a
"sizable economic displacement of incumbent utility generation."

As a result, he expects "tens of thousands of megawatts to be
mothballed nationwide as low electricity prices and over-capacity
in most regions squeeze the profit margins on inefficient,
high-heat-rate power-generation assets."

======================

And the prize for figuring it out early goes to:
Mark Shapiro -- Sat, 31 Mar 2001 10:10:42 -0800

Much (but not all) of the California energy problem was the
result of a badly flawed deregulation scheme foisted on a naive legislature
(oh the joys of term limits) by lobbyists for the out-of-state energy
suppliers (Enron sent in an army of lawyers to help write the bill). You
can read about it in my article "Power to the People!":