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...
I agree that sums are better than averages and recording
outcomes as they are (instead of averaging at each step)
is more to the point. Here are my new data.
The end result is the same as before but there is no need to truncate
fractions. That is a big improvement.
... Rightly or wrongly many
authors refer to the exponential formula as the "low of decay."
This point is not worth arguing now, IMHO.