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Re: the year 2100



An oft repeated joke given at colloquia by fusion energy folks is

"fusion power is twenty years away and that prediction hasn't changed for
the last fifty years . . ."

Joel

-----Original Message-----
From: phys-l@lists.nau.edu: Forum for Physics Educators
[mailto:PHYS-L@lists.nau.edu]On Behalf Of Tim O'Donnell
Sent: Monday, February 05, 2001 11:54 AM
To: PHYS-L@lists.nau.edu
Subject: Re: the year 2100


The point of view of my project is a 'worst-case' scenario.
WHAT IF no major breakthroughs in energy technology/physics
occur in the next 100 years. If we look at the past
century, there is really little 'new' in commercial 'energy
production' apart from nuclear and photo-voltaic electrical
production. Sure the engineering and much of the technology
has improved, but the physics of the energy industry would
be easy for the circa 1900 physicist to comprehend. So,
while we hope for breakthroughs in areas such as fusion, and
could always be surprised by something coming totally out of
'left field', it is not unreasonable to look at what the
possibilities/probabilities would be without any 'new
physics' and with little in the way of true 'breakthrough'
technology.

Rick,
What is your feeling on fusion?
At one point in time by 2050 I taught it might be a major
supplier, but now it seems dead in the water. I haven't
heard much about it for a few years.

Tim O'Donnell
Instructor of Physics and Chemistry
Celina High School
715 East Wayne Street
Celina, Ohio 45822
(419) 586-8300 Ext 1200 or 1201
odonnt@celina.k12.oh.us

"Chance only favors the prepared mind." - Louis Pasteur