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If Robert believes that beginners expect twice the illumination from the
same electrical power input to a series parallel arrangement of four
bulbs as to a single bulb, does he give them too little credit, or do we
give him too much? :-)
I think brian was alluding to an apparent error in your own reasoning:
Under the naive assumptions 1) that the resistance is independent of
current and 2) that the illumination from each bulb is proportional to
the electrical power consumed by each bulb, the students should predict
that the total illumination is the *same* in both cases.